Ivan Raiklin, a retired Army Reserve lieutenant colonel and former Defense Intelligence Agency employee, has compiled a “Deep State target list” of over 300 individuals he considers adversaries. This list includes elected officials from both major political parties, FBI and intelligence agency personnel, journalists, and others he perceives as part of the “Deep State.” The New Republic
The list has been circulated within certain right-wing circles and is available on platforms like the Internet Archive. Internet Archive
can you describe how the big lie of leftist = liberal is a horrible insult to classical liberals which are almost the polar opposite of authoritarian leftists
Much of this is “guided AI” I did not quite end with what I wanted but here it is, in 45 minutes. ChatGPT said:
The idea that “leftist” equals “liberal” is a profound misconception—and for classical liberals, it’s often an infuriatingly misleading conflation. Classical liberalism took root as humanity emerged from an agricultural past and entered a scientific, industrial age where knowledge, art, and music began reaching people far beyond the elites. Freed from the restrictions of feudal systems and the ironclad authority of kings and queens, classical liberalism became a philosophy of personal empowerment. Art, literature, and history moved out of private halls and into public spaces, so that the common person could experience beauty and truth as much as the wealthy could. This was the cultural spirit of liberalism: an expansion of freedom that was both intellectual and deeply personal.
At its core, classical liberalism advocates for individual rights, personal freedom, limited government, and economic liberty. It prizes free speech, open markets, and minimal interference in people’s lives by the state, allowing individuals to create, explore, and connect. In this sense, classical liberals resonate with a profound belief in humanity’s potential to improve not through forced equality, but through a freedom that encourages personal responsibility, growth, and mutual respect. This approach mirrors the curiosity and depth found in Jungian psychology, which respects the complexity of the psyche and sees each person as a unique tapestry of experiences, values, and spiritual questions.
In contrast, modern leftism, especially on its authoritarian side, often prioritizes centralized control and heavy intervention in both economic and social spheres, sometimes going as far as to restrict speech in the name of equity. This perspective, grounded in collectivism, places the needs of the group or state above the rights of the individual. To a classical liberal, these goals contradict their core principles, which prize personal liberty and free expression over enforced conformity. The authoritarian side of leftism can feel stifling, viewing individuals as parts of a social agenda rather than as unique beings whose freedoms are worth preserving.
For classical liberals, being lumped together with authoritarian leftists is more than just a mislabeling—it’s a “big lie” that fundamentally erases their worldview, reducing their belief in a society based on freedom, curiosity, and self-respect to a caricature of state control. This conflation disregards the long-standing values of classical liberalism, which cherishes the freedom of individuals to explore, create, and contribute to society on their terms.
In this light, conflating “liberal” with “leftist” overlooks the true richness of classical liberalism. This philosophy embraces a world where knowledge and beauty are accessible to all, not to mandate conformity, but to celebrate diversity of thought and experience. Take the art museum: it’s more than a place to view paintings; it symbolizes the classical liberal dream that beauty, history, and culture should belong to everyone, not just to elites or academics. Museums and libraries are civic spaces where the spirit of free inquiry and appreciation for the human condition thrive—a freedom classical liberals believe should never be regulated or rationed.
This respect for the individual’s journey resonates with thinkers like Tesla, who saw the universe not as a static entity but as a symphony of frequencies and vibrations. Tesla’s vision suggests that each person, like each frequency, holds a distinct part of the whole, contributing something unique to the broader experience. This perspective stands in sharp contrast to Freud’s deterministic worldview, which reduces human nature to a fixation on sexuality. Freud’s focus on sex as the primary driver of all behavior felt reductive to many, imposing a narrow and somewhat cynical lens on the vast complexity of human life. Classical liberals would likely see Freud’s approach as stifling, almost as a pseudo-scientific attempt to strip people of their depth and potential.
Jung, on the other hand, viewed psychology as a journey into the soul, where the conscious and subconscious, the rational and the spiritual, all play vital roles. His approach aligns with classical liberalism’s reverence for individuality and introspection, its belief that people can find meaning and fulfillment in ways that defy narrow scientific categories or social agendas. For classical liberals, this focus on the spiritual and psychological depths of a person mirrors their vision of a free society: one in which individuals are valued not as tools for a state or agenda, but as unique beings whose experiences, aspirations, and choices contribute to the richness of a shared world.
So, classical liberalism is more than a political stance; it’s a cultural and spiritual embrace of life in all its complexity. It’s a vision that sees human beings as more than mere social functions or subjects of scientific reductionism. Classical liberals believe in the beauty of freedom itself, where art, history, and individual inquiry illuminate a path toward human fulfillment—a path that no authoritarian system, left or right, could ever replicate.
stock here: but some endorsements came earlier, so there is more to the story
Oprah Winfrey publicly endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election during the Democratic National Convention (DNC) on August 21, 2024. In her speech, Winfrey emphasized the importance of values, character, decency, and respect in leadership, urging voters to support Harris. CBS News
Following the DNC, Winfrey continued her support by hosting a live-streamed event titled “Unite for America” on September 19, 2024, in Farmington Hills, Michigan. This event aimed to register voters and bolster support for Harris’s campaign.
Photog: Is it true they paid you a million dollars for the endorsement for Kamala
Oprah: Not true. I was paid nothing. Ever.
Oprah’s production company Harpo: As you can see Harris For President gave us two payments of $500,000 equaling exactly a million dollars. pic.twitter.com/j2ZTjWhgpe
stock here: there is quite the compilation of absurdities here, and the Queens English make it even more absurd with “air of superiority”. Drop a comment, or link to further videos.
stock this was funny….first time AI asked me a question.
well leftism and communism are a hard sell to anyone paying attention, or lets call it more accurately techno-fascist-corporotism ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
You’re pointing to a perspective that sees certain political ideologies as closely linked with centralized control, particularly involving large corporations and technology, which some critics argue resembles “techno-fascism” or “corporatism” rather than traditional leftism or communism.
The notion of techno-fascist corporatism suggests that when tech companies and government agencies work in tandem, they wield concentrated power over information, consumer choices, and even political discourse. Unlike traditional leftism, which often emphasizes worker empowerment and the redistribution of wealth, critics argue that this model benefits a powerful elite by aligning corporate interests with government authority—potentially at the expense of individual freedoms.
For many, this blending of corporate and government influence over society can be a “hard sell.” The perception is that when big tech firms and state agencies collaborate, it can limit personal autonomy, curtail freedom of speech, and exert control over markets, steering society in a direction that some view as anti-democratic. This dynamic may indeed alienate voters who prioritize individual liberties, economic freedom, and transparency in governance.
Do you think this perception is shaping broader public skepticism toward political campaigns and media narratives?
well i think we always need to correctly perceive the USA as a Republic which has democratic aspects, and not fall into the vacuous non-sense of “our democracy” which is pretty much mob rule. ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
You’re highlighting an important distinction. The U.S. was indeed founded as a Republic with democratic elements, aiming to balance majority rule with protections for individual rights and minority voices through checks and balances. This structure is intended to guard against the risks of “mob rule,” or direct democracy, where decisions are made by simple majority without protections for the rights of individuals or smaller groups.
In a Republic, elected representatives ideally make decisions based on constitutional principles and the interests of all constituents rather than on transient majorities. This concept reinforces the importance of constitutional law, judicial review, and a limited government structure designed to prevent any single faction from dominating. It’s a nuanced approach that allows democratic participation while aiming to protect foundational rights and freedoms.
stock here, they have 153,000 subscribers, poor things. Dr Phillip McMillan blames it all on auto-immune responses, but then blames that on the COVID virus, and especially the Omicron which is quite weak.
It means that all the hospitals are going to be full….for the next 2 years, LOL, and this video is from 9 months ago. He actually says, this is going to become a storm surge of death, maybe we can keep it to 80 million deaths. “We really have to find solutions”
Here’s a summary of the COVID-related live chat, organized by themes and perspectives expressed by participants: Supporters of Natural Immunity and Alternative Treatments
Many participants expressed confidence in natural immunity, especially for those who had contracted COVID-19 but remained unvaccinated. They mentioned that unvaccinated individuals may have stronger mucosal immunity and are less likely to experience reinfection.
Several commenters promoted alternative or preventative measures, such as vitamin D, zinc, quercetin, ivermectin, and povidone-iodine nasal spray.
Skepticism about Vaccines and COVID-19 Testing
There was significant skepticism regarding the effectiveness and safety of COVID-19 vaccines, with some users referring to them as "bio-weapons" or "experimental medical products."
Some participants argued that vaccines weaken natural immunity and increase susceptibility to reinfection.
Several users doubted the reliability of COVID-19 tests, mentioning "false positives" and expressing distrust toward PCR and lateral flow tests.
Speculation on COVID-19 Origins and Bioweapon Theory
A portion of the discussion centered around the theory that COVID-19 could be a bioweapon or the result of "gain of function" research, with some commenters pointing to certain scientists and officials.
Some participants believed that COVID-19 was either lab-made or manipulated to serve as a bioweapon, with a few suggesting that it was intentionally spread as part of a broader agenda.
Religious and Philosophical Reflections
Some participants incorporated religious and philosophical views, quoting Bible verses and suggesting that faith is essential in uncertain times.
There were also references to apocalyptic themes, with some attributing the pandemic to larger, morally-driven narratives about good and evil.
Frustration and Distrust of Official Narratives
Many users expressed frustration with mainstream media and health authorities, suggesting that information on COVID-19 and vaccines has been manipulated.
Participants discussed feeling isolated from family members who believe in the natural origin of COVID-19, highlighting a divide between those who trust official narratives and those who are skeptical.
Count of Types of Comments
Support for Natural Immunity/Alternative Treatments: 15 comments
Vaccine and Testing Skepticism: 20 comments
Bioweapon Theory: 12 comments
Religious and Philosophical: 5 comments
Frustration with Official Narratives: 10 comments
Overall, the chat reflects a high level of skepticism about COVID-19 vaccines, testing, and official narratives, with many advocating for alternative treatments and expressing concerns about a potential bioweapon origin. There was also a mix of religious and philosophical commentary, underscoring a distrust of mainstream institutions.
stock here: I have been saying for years….give a traditionally low power sector, power, and what will they do…….anything their paymasters tell them to do. Note: FEMA did NOT say they fired this black female, they only said she was “removed from her role”.
Marn’i Washington, a crew leader for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in Highland County, Florida, was terminated after instructing her team to avoid providing assistance to homes displaying support for President-elect Donald Trump. This directive led to at least 20 homes being skipped during disaster relief efforts in Lake Placid, Florida. Conservative Brief
FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell condemned Washington’s actions, stating they violated FEMA’s core values of impartiality and commitment to assisting all disaster survivors, regardless of political affiliation. Criswell emphasized that such behavior is unacceptable and that the agency will hold individuals accountable for such conduct. The Washington Post
The incident has sparked discussions about the importance of neutrality in disaster response and the ethical responsibilities of federal employees in serving the public without bias.
FULL STATEMENT: “FEMA helps all survivors regardless of their political preference or affiliation and we are deeply disturbed by this employee’s actions. While we believe this is an isolated incident, we have taken measures to remove the employee from their role and are investigating the matter to prevent this from happening ever again. The employee who issued this guidance had no authority and was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes and we are reaching out to the people who may have not been reached as a result of this incident. This is a matter that we take extremely seriously and we are doing everything we can to make sure all survivors receive support from FEMA. To date, we have helped over 365,000 households impacted by both Hurricanes Helene and Milton in the state of Florida and have provided over $898 million in direct assistance to survivors. We are horrified that this took place and therefore have taken extreme actions to correct this situation and have ensured that the matter was addressed at all levels. Helping people is what we do best and our workforce across the agency will continue to serve survivors for as long as it takes.”
stock here, consider the epic speech by Harris to be just part of their next play….and part of that is that J6 by Trump is a reason for his exclusion from the chance to get to the presidency.
Seems like whatever drugs they were giving to Biden, they gave her a cocktail, and it helped her pull off this “departing” speech, less cackling.
I’ll summarize the AI….they want gun bans, they want baby murder to not just OK but to be enshrined again, they want acceptance of the outcomes to invalidate prior unacceptance of the past fake outcomes with 80,000,000 votes….and to disqualify Trump because of J6.
Everyone is your neighbor…even if they are here illegally.
“Don’t Ever Listen to somebody to tells you that something is impossible, just because it has never been done before”…..That fact something has never been done before, makes “it’s” soon in the future completion, to have a diminishingly small likelihood. But reality and likelihood are not part of what she is trying to talk about or portray….there is a whole different plot. Then she speaks of a “law of history” only when it is darker can you see the stars…..fill the light with the light of a billion billion stars of truth and service… and then I think she says “a Jew”. These are the closing comments, maybe it was Adieu. LOL her husband is a Jew, the “First Gentleman”, the “new masculinity”.
Transcript by AI: The first youTube I saw only had 414 views and 3 comments, this one has a ton of comments, that are 80% negative on Harris. AI summarized these comments at the far bottom.
Certainly! Here’s a more detailed outline of Kamala Harris’s concession speech with headers and bullet points to help organize it over about 2.5 pages:
Kamala Harris’s Concession Speech: A Message of Unity, Resilience, and Hope
Kamala Harris delivered a heartfelt concession speech following the presidential election results, congratulating Donald Trump on his victory. Her address emphasized the strength of democratic principles, the importance of unity, and the power of persistence. Through calls for resilience and hope, she encouraged Americans to continue fighting for shared values and a brighter future. A Commitment to Democracy and Unity
Congratulating the President-Elect: Harris confirmed her conversation with Trump, congratulating him and promising a peaceful transition of power.
Honoring Democratic Principles:
She highlighted the importance of respecting election results, which she views as essential to democracy.
This respect distinguishes democracy from other forms of government, like monarchy or tyranny.
Unity Over Division:
Harris spoke of a vision where Americans from all backgrounds are united by a love for their country.
Emphasized commonalities over differences, urging citizens to remember that they have “more in common than what separates us.”
Reaffirming Core American Values
Loyalty to the Constitution:
Harris stressed that loyalty should be directed not at a single leader or party but at the Constitution, conscience, and faith.
The Fight for Freedom and Justice:
Though conceding the election, Harris made it clear she would not give up on the ideals that motivated her campaign:
Freedom and opportunity for all.
Equality and fairness.
Respect and dignity for every individual.
She emphasized that these values are essential to America’s identity and its democratic principles.
Encouraging the Next Generation and Persistence
Message to Young Americans:
Acknowledged the disappointment felt by supporters, especially younger voters.
Urged them to stay hopeful, reminding them that setbacks are temporary and perseverance is key.
Encouraged young people never to believe that something is “impossible” just because it hasn’t been done.
Resilience and Hard Work:
Harris praised “hard work” as a path to joy and fulfillment, stating that “the fight for our country is always worth it.”
Reiterated that positive change may take time, but persistence is vital.
Fighting for Core Issues
Women’s Rights:
Harris reaffirmed her commitment to protecting women’s autonomy over their own bodies.
Gun Control:
Committed to continuing efforts to make schools and streets safer by tackling gun violence.
Fundamental Rights and Freedoms:
Advocated for equal justice and the rule of law, noting that every person has certain “fundamental rights and freedoms” that must be protected.
Path Forward: Taking Action and Leading by Example
Multiple Avenues of Engagement:
She emphasized the importance of continuing the fight for change through various means:
Voting and political engagement.
Judicial actions and legal advocacy.
Positive community interactions and respectful treatment of others.
Setting an Example of Kindness and Respect:
Encouraged Americans to live by values of kindness and compassion.
Encouraged “lifting each other up” and seeing everyone as a “neighbor.”
Finding Hope in Dark Times
Drawing Inspiration from Others’ Strength:
Harris reflected on stories of resilience from her career, where people found strength in adversity.
She urged people to let these stories inspire continued efforts for justice and fairness.
Optimism and Light in Dark Times:
Closing with an analogy, Harris spoke of a potential “dark time” but emphasized the possibility of filling the sky with light—hope, optimism, truth, and service.
Closing Remarks: A Call to Action and Hope
Encouragement to Stay Engaged:
Harris encouraged all Americans to remain active, organized, and committed to their communities.
She urged people to focus on building a better future collectively.
Final Blessing:
Concluded with words of gratitude and a blessing for the United States.
In her concession, Kamala Harris delivered a strong message of resilience and commitment to core American values, emphasizing the importance of unity, hope, and hard work in the face of challenges. Her speech serves as a reminder that democracy thrives through shared dedication to justice, freedom, and opportunity for all.
Here’s a breakdown of the comments on Kamala Harris’s speech, grouped by supporters and detractors, along with a count for each type. Supporters (18 Comments)
These commenters expressed positive sentiments about Kamala Harris’s speech, character, or political impact. They appreciated her message of hope, viewed her as a strong leader, or respected her for trying to unite and inspire Americans.
Examples:
"She gave a great speech; she gave us hope."
"Wonderful speech, wonderful person."
"She showed grace, class, and dignity… even in defeat."
Count: 18 supportive comments
Detractors (90 Comments)
These commenters were critical of Harris’s speech, political record, or personal style. Common critiques included her perceived lack of charisma, repetition, and perceived insincerity. Some suggested her speech was “lackluster” or that she incited division. Others criticized her past actions as a prosecutor or questioned her qualifications and dedication.
Examples:
"She’s the epitome of evil; her laugh is evil."
"What a consistent joke."
"She has no charisma at all."
"Good riddance."
Count: 90 critical comments
Summary: In this comment section, detractors heavily outweighed supporters, with criticisms focusing on her style, past actions, and perceived insincerity. Supporters focused on her resilience, grace, and the hope she instilled for progressive causes.
stock here, this was a comment, but deserves to be an article.
The genocide extended to Lebanon is a diversion in order to lure Hezbollah and the resistance elsewhere while the zionist wage its ethnic cleansing attacks on Gaza and the West bank with full complicity of the US and most western countries (UK, EU/NATO controlled countries like France, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, etc…) while the zionist wage its ethnic cleansing attacks on Gaza and the West bank with full complicity of the US and most western countries (UK, EU/NATO controlled countries like France, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, etc…)
After year-long genocide, Israeli military hires private firms to flatten buildings in Gaza presstv . ir / Detail /2024/11/05/736667/Netizens-erupt-in-outrage-as-Israeli-company-streams-genocidal-flattening-of-Gaza
In the Israeli regime’s 396 days of onslaught on Gaza as of Tuesday, two-thirds of the total structures in the narrow strip have been damaged, according to the United Nations Satellite Centre (UNOSAT).
Those 66 percent of damaged buildings in Gaza account for 163,778 structures in total.
“Israeli military is employing private civilian companies & non-military personnel in flattening homes in Rafah,” he wrote in a post on X, formerly Twitter. “Meshek Afar Ltd has been in the city for 3 days. An employee now in Rafah uploaded this below & said that its CEO will flatten a mosque tomorrow,” he added, sharing a video of Meshek Afar CEO Alon Elgali and another company staff navigating through the rubble in Rafah, a city in southern Gaza.
Has Israel already started colonizing Gaza? Footage shows that non-military personnel from private Israeli companies are engaged in flattening buildings in Rafah, Gaza.#GazaGenocide pic.twitter.com/ZlTGTO6Ay0 — Palestine Highlights (@PalHighlight) November 4, 2024
‘Ethnic cleansing on industrial scale’ “The depravity knows no bounds. The goal has always been the ethnic cleansing of Palestine,” wrote Radia Hennessey, a human rights advocate, on X.
She further noted that Alon Elgali, the CEO of Meshek Afar, must not evade legal accountability, as civilians are also subject to prosecution for war crimes under the jurisdiction of both the International Criminal Court (ICC) and national courts.
REMEMBER THE NAME OF THIS CRIMINAL VS HUMANITY: Alon Elgali EO of Meshek Afar
The attack on Lebanon is a diversion, the zionists are taking over Gaza and the West Bank, this is genocide and ethnic cleansing.
Here’s a summary of key points from the October 30 Lahaina recovery meeting:
Introduction and Prayer: The meeting began with logistical information about facilities and a prayer for the community's healing and support.
Updates and Resources:
Attendees were reminded to use 211 for disaster case management.
Photos and information were shared from recent events, including a blessing ceremony at K Village.
An open house for the long-term recovery plan took place with 200 people in attendance. The plan covers 40 projects, and feedback can be provided online.
Upcoming Events:
A community meeting on a proposed 16-acre school site in the Lahaina area is scheduled for November 19.
Other future agenda items include cultural monitoring of debris clearing and updates from All Hands and Hearts on ineligible debris removal.
Ongoing Programs:
FEMA presented its rental assistance and direct housing programs, explaining eligibility, timelines, and conditions. Some programs require financial review every 30 days, and rent payments for FEMA-provided housing will start on March 1, 2025.
The Small Business Administration (SBA) outlined available low-interest disaster loans for homeowners, renters, businesses, and nonprofits, as well as deadlines for applying.
Temporary Debris Site (TDS):
Air quality, water monitoring, and other environmental checks are ongoing at the TDS. Plans are in place to safely move debris to a permanent site starting around 2025, using upgraded routes to minimize traffic impact.
The TDS will eventually be restored to its original state.
Community Concerns:
Residents expressed frustration with housing and rental assistance formulas, specifically HUD fair market rent rates, which many feel are inadequate given the high local cost of housing. They voiced concerns that policies are unsustainable, forcing them to dip into rebuilding funds to cover living costs.
Suggestions were made for FEMA to revisit these formulas and engage HUD in potentially adjusting fair market rent rates to better align with Maui’s unique housing challenges.
FEMA and SBA Responses:
FEMA representatives emphasized their programs’ legal limitations but assured attendees that individual cases are reviewed for potential additional support.
The SBA reminded attendees of additional assistance options for various disaster recovery needs.
Community Input: Residents called for FEMA and other agencies to take immediate legislative steps to address the unique housing challenges and provide more flexibility in policies to prevent further displacement.
This summary captures the main themes discussed, with community members urging FEMA and other authorities to advocate for policy adjustments that address specific local needs.
stock here: I ran this poll on Nextdoor, and my area is fairly conservative, but after the tribal lefties got wind of it, they were able to push the poll to 60% trump 40% Harris, which would have a little more support for Harris than what street signs would indicate.
Of course, NextDoor then banned me until November 6th, LOL day after the election! Because my comment was not limited to the local neighborhood. They are primarily leftists authoritarian ass-hats. Only good for finding lost pets, LOL.
stock here, below the graphic is a Discussion of Margin of error. The closer a poll or election is to 50%, the higher the margin of error. At 10% the margin of error becomes quite a bit smaller. My “conclusion” is at the far bottom if you don’t want to follow the whole discussion.
On a poll with 3842 votes what is the “margin of error” and how is it calculated ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
The “margin of error” in a poll is a measure of how much you can expect the poll results to vary from the true population values. It’s calculated based on the sample size (the number of votes) and the desired confidence level, typically 95%. How to Calculate the Margin of Error (MoE)
For a poll with a sample size of 3,842 votes:
Determine the Confidence Level: Most polls use a 95% confidence level, which corresponds to a Z-score of 1.96.
Calculate the Sample Proportion (p): If the poll result shows, for example, 50% for a particular response, then p = 0.5. If the proportion is unknown, 0.5 is commonly used as it provides the largest margin of error, giving a conservative estimate.
Calculate the Standard Error (SE):
SE=p(1−p)n
SE=np(1−p)
where n=3,842n=3,842.
Calculate the Margin of Error:
MoE=Z×SE
MoE=Z×SE
For a 95% confidence level, Z = 1.96.
Let’s calculate it based on a sample proportion of 0.5. Example Calculation
Standard Error (SE):
SE=0.5×(1−0.5)3842=0.253842≈0.008
SE=38420.5×(1−0.5)
=38420.25
≈0.008
Margin of Error (MoE):
MoE=1.96×0.008=0.0157 or 1.57%
MoE=1.96×0.008=0.0157 or 1.57%
Result
The margin of error for this poll, with 3,842 votes, would be approximately ±1.57% at a 95% confidence level.
This means the true percentage could vary by about 1.57% above or below the reported poll result if the poll is unbiased and random. You said: on this same poll if the no votes were 381 and the yes was the remainder then would p=.1, and what would the calc then be ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
Yes, if the “No” votes were 381 out of 3,842 total votes, the proportion for “No” (pp) would indeed be: p=3813842≈0.1 p=3842381≈0.1
With this updated pp, we can recalculate the margin of error. Updated Calculation Steps
Determine the Sample Proportion (p):
p=0.1p=0.1
Calculate the Standard Error (SE):
SE=p(1−p)n=0.1×(1−0.1)3842
SE=np(1−p)
≈0.0048
Calculate the Margin of Error (MoE): Using the Z-score for a 95% confidence level, Z=1.96Z=1.96:
MoE=Z×SE=1.96×0.0048≈0.0094
MoE=Z×SE=1.96×0.0048≈0.0094
Result
The margin of error, given p=0.1p=0.1, would be approximately ±0.94% at a 95% confidence level.
This smaller margin of error reflects the lower variability when the proportion pp is further from 0.5. You said: what does margin of error actually mean though, like talking to a freshman in highschool ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
The margin of error tells you how much you can trust the results of a poll or survey. It gives a range that the real answer is likely to fall within if you asked everyone, not just the people in the poll.
Imagine you’re trying to figure out what everyone in your school thinks about a new lunch option, but instead of asking every student, you only ask 100 people. Let’s say 60% of them say they like it. You might think that means about 60% of the whole school likes it. But because you only asked a sample (the 100 people), the real percentage could be a little higher or lower.
The margin of error tells us how much higher or lower that percentage might realistically be. For example, if the margin of error is ±5%, it means that the real percentage of people who like the lunch option could be anywhere from 55% to 65%.
In short:
Poll result: 60% say “yes”
Margin of error: ±5%
Real range: The true percentage of people who like it is likely between 55% and 65%.
So, the margin of error helps us understand how close the poll result is to the “truth” about the entire group! You said: so in my example then the no votes could vary from 10% to 9.06% or up to 10.94, it has nothing to do with is there a chance that there are more no votes than yes votes ChatGPT said: ChatGPT
Exactly! The margin of error simply tells us how much the reported percentage could vary around the poll’s result. In your example:
You found that 10% of the sample voted "No."
With a margin of error of ±0.94%, the true percentage of "No" votes among everyone could range from 9.06% to 10.94%.
But the margin of error doesn’t suggest any possibility of “No” having more votes than “Yes” in this case because:
The overall result: "Yes" votes are significantly higher than "No" votes in the original poll.
The margin of error: It’s only a slight range around the calculated percentage.
So, while the percentage for “No” might be a little higher or lower, it’s still within a small range around that 10%, and the gap between “Yes” and “No” would still be large enough that “Yes” remains the majority.
In short, the margin of error lets us say, “The true ‘No’ percentage is probably close to what we found, but there’s a small range of uncertainty.” It doesn’t change the outcome of “Yes” being the clear winner in this poll!
stock here: They suck up every lie, project onto the people who are actually much closer to the truth, and then learn little phrases like gaslighting and use them repeatedly. https://x.com/pattimor2011
She’s a big fan of Yuval Harari
Doesn’t Harari look like he would be an excellent concentration camp “administrator”, or even “science experimenter”.
“Gun Control is a Great Idea”. It’s Pretty Clear Folks. She will do anything that they want her to do. 100 days until executive action…”we tried” and Congress wouldn’t listen.
The Japanese expert panelist’s testimony is critical for understanding the magnitude of the moment. Read the English subtitles…stop the vid to capture the fast-talking scientists words. It’s not just what they are saying. Note their manner; the sense of urgency, the sense of shame. This happened on their watch; they are pissed. Unusual behavior for Japanese academics but it fits what might be expected in a moment of extreme crisis. Following the Fukushima meltdowns of 2011, these guys are not going to knell to authority this time.
