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Sunday, April 5, 2020

Italy Is Losing the Battle, They Fail On Continuing To Decrease Their Exponent of Cases

stock here, maybe they are doing more testing, but the fatality rate doesn't show that.   See ratio chart of Dead / Total Cases....NOT GOOD!

Not good

It's messy as all get go....what would expect from a Mad Scientist?   No time to make it pretty.....here is the real spreadsheet, real models.   

https://app.box.com/s/gikr8b94x5hrny31bngw0abf42y3c76e

Blue is actual, orange is model.    See other chart.   Italy is no longer improving it's exponent.  The trend of decreasing exponent stopped.   Not good, are they getting sloppy?




This was last week.....exponent nicely declining.


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